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經營 科學 = Korean management science review v.29 no.1, 2012년, pp.1 - 14   피인용횟수: 1

댐 군 월별 운영 정책의 도출을 위한 추계적 동적 계획 모형
A Stochastic Dynamic Programming Model to Derive Monthly Operating Policy of a Multi-Reservoir System

임동규   김재희    (전북대학교 경영학부   ); 김승권    (고려대학교 기술경영전문대학원  );
  • 초록

    The goal of the multi-reservoir operation planning is to provide an optimal release plan that maximize the reservoir storage and hydropower generation while minimizing the spillages. However, the reservoir operation is difficult due to the uncertainty associated with inflows. In order to consider the uncertain inflows in the reservoir operating problem, we present a Stochastic Dynamic Programming (SDP) model based on the markov decision process (MDP). The objective of the model is to maximize the expected value of the system performance that is the weighted sum of all expected objective values. With the SDP model, multi-reservoir operating rule can be derived, and it also generates the steady state probabilities of reservoir storage and inflow as output. We applied the model to the Geum-river basin in Korea and could generate a multi-reservoir monthly operating plan that can consider the uncertainty of inflow.


  • 주제어

    Stochastic Dynamic Programming .   Markov Decision Process .   Multi-reservoir Operating.  

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    1. Lee, Geun-Cheol ; Kim, Jung-Ug ; Hong, Jung Man 2012. "Component Procurement Planning with Demand Uncertainty Under Assemble-to-Order Environments" 經營 科學 = Korean management science review, 29(3): 121~134     

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