본문 바로가기
HOME> 논문 > 논문 검색상세

논문 상세정보

Energy research & social science v.37, 2018년, pp.122 - 132   SSCI
본 등재정보는 저널의 등재정보를 참고하여 보여주는 베타서비스로 정확한 논문의 등재여부는 등재기관에 확인하시기 바랍니다.

Uncertainty, politics, and technology: Expert perceptions on energy transitions in the United Kingdom

Li, Francis G.N. (UCL Energy Institute, Central House, 14 Upper Woburn Place, London, WC1H 0NN, United Kingdom ) ; Pye, Steve (UCL Energy Institute, Central House, 14 Upper Woburn Place, London, WC1H 0NN, United Kingdom ) ;
  • 초록  

    Abstract Energy policy is beset by deep uncertainties, owing to the scale of future transitions, the long-term timescales for action, and numerous stakeholders. This paper provides insights from semi-structured interviews with 31 UK experts from government, industry, academia, and civil society. Participants were asked for their views on the major uncertainties surrounding the ability of the UK to meet its 2050 climate targets. The research reveals a range of views on the most critical uncertainties, how they can be mitigated, and how the research community can develop approaches to better support strategic decision-making. The study finds that the socio-political dimensions of uncertainty are discussed by experts almost as frequently as technological ones, but that there exist divergent perspectives on the role of government in the transition and whether or not there is a requirement for increased societal engagement. Finally, the study finds that decision-makers require a new approach to uncertainty assessment that overcomes analytical limits to existing practice, is more flexible and adaptable, and which better integrates qualitative narratives with quantitative analysis. Policy design must escape from ‘caged’ thinking concerning what can or cannot be included in models, and therefore what types of uncertainties can or cannot be explored. Highlights Semi-structured interviews involving over 30 strategic decision-makers in the UK energy system. Complex interlinkages between technology, society, and politics were explicitly acknowledged. Interviewees perceived increased public engagement and expanded policy ambition as key strategies for uncertainty mitigation. Participants noted that existing analytical modelling approaches overlook key dimensions of future energy transitions. Stakeholders call for better interdisciplinary integration between quantitative and qualitative research in future analysis.


  • 주제어

    Climate policy .   Energy policy .   Uncertainty analysis .   Decision-making.  

 활용도 분석

  • 상세보기

    amChart 영역
  • 원문보기

    amChart 영역

원문보기

무료다운로드
  • 원문이 없습니다.
유료다운로드

유료 다운로드의 경우 해당 사이트의 정책에 따라 신규 회원가입, 로그인, 유료 구매 등이 필요할 수 있습니다. 해당 사이트에서 발생하는 귀하의 모든 정보활동은 NDSL의 서비스 정책과 무관합니다.

원문복사신청을 하시면, 일부 해외 인쇄학술지의 경우 외국학술지지원센터(FRIC)에서
무료 원문복사 서비스를 제공합니다.

NDSL에서는 해당 원문을 복사서비스하고 있습니다. 위의 원문복사신청 또는 장바구니 담기를 통하여 원문복사서비스 이용이 가능합니다.

이 논문과 함께 출판된 논문 + 더보기